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HomeMy WebLinkAbout2004-06-22 Airport Advisory Board Agenda fa AGENDA 3 DANIA BEACH AIRPORT ADVISORY COMMITTEE JUNE 22, THURSDAY, 7:00 P.M. 1. ROLL CALL AND SELF INTRODUCTION 2. EXCUSED ABSENCES 3. MINUTES 3.1 APPROVAL OF MINUTES OF MEETING MAY 27, 2004. 4. PRESENTATION OF SUB COMMITTEE REPORTS. 4.1 DISCUSSION OF RUNWAY PROJECT, MASTER PLAN UPDATE & PART 150 PROJECT, EIS UPDATE, TASK FORCE UPDATE, WEB PAGE STATUS. 4.2 NOISE ABATEMENT COMMITTEE MEETING DISCUSSION 4.3 PRESENTATION OF ANY MEMBER RUNUP LOGS 5. UNFINISHED BUSINESS 6, NEW BUSINESS 7. ADJOURN A REMINDER FROM THE CHAIR: ALL COMMITTEE MEMBERS WHO ARE UNABLE TO ATTEND THIS MEETING SHOULD WRITE A NOTE TO DANIA CLERK STATING YOU WILL BE ABSENT OR YOU WILL BE CHARGED WITH AN UNEXCUSED ABSENCE. THANK YOU. SEE YOU AT THE MEETING. Minutes City of Dania Beach Airport Advisory Board May 27,2004 The meeting was called to order by Chairman Jay Field at 7:00 PM. Members present: Jay Field Edwin Summer Gary Liedtke Billy Phipps Irvin Witz Geri Gilyard Ingraham Claude Davis, Jr. Members absent: Zachary Adams Beulah Lair Charlene Scalese Nancy Stafford Cathy David Karen Gottlieb Also present: Suzanne Witz Beulah Lair and Karen Gottlieb had requested an excused absence., Motion made by Geri Ingraham, seconded by Gary Liedtke and carried. Billy Phipps requested an excused absence for the April meeting. Motion made by Gary Liedke, seconded by Geri Ingraham and granted. Minutes of the April meeting were presented for approval. One correction was made. Paragraph 4, line 2 and 3 should read"Edwin Summers nominated Beulah Lair as Vice Chair". Motion to approve as corrected made by Gary Liedtke, seconded by Geri Ingraham and carried. Chairman Field asked Mr. Liedtke and Mr. Summers to report on the May 20" Davie Airport Advisory Committee meeting. They said Brenda Chalifour had organized the meeting. The Mayor of Davie and several city commissioners were present and spoke in opposition of any expansion of the airport. Neil McAllister, attorney with Case& White, gave an interesting presentation on the EIS which he said will take up to two years to complete. Attorney Andy Schuster spoke on"Eminent Domain". Broward County Commissioner Rodstrom was present at the meeting.. Mr. Liedtke said he offered the support of the Dania Beach Airport Advisory Board and asked that Davie inform the board of any future meetings. Chairman Field called attention to the three letters which accompanied the meeting agenda this month and stated that he would like to have them put on the city's web site. Mr. Summers will work with Mr. Cook in this regard. 1. Gary Liedkte said the footprint for the south runway has been established at 8,200 feet. With this done, he felt some people are far too complacent and warned that it's possible that now action on the runway could move at a much faster pace than many expect. For example,the City of Ft. Lauderdale has already sent a letter to the Broward County Commission asking them to raise the passenger facility charge immediately on each ticket from $3.00 to $4.50,to aid in the mitigation and also asked them to initiate the sale of bonds for this purpose.. That letter is presently on file. It was mentioned that Lori Parrish said the community outreach trailer is scheduled to open the first week of June. A flyer prepared by the Melaleuca Gardens Homeowner's Association was distributed in the Melaleuca area, announcing the opening as Tuesday, June 1 st at 8:00 A.M. The outline previously prepared by Ed Summers in regard to the role of the advisory board was discussed. It was felt that people from other affected areas should become more involved. Beulah Lair and Ann Castro will be asked to contact residents in some of the other areas. Ed Summers felt someone should follow the progress of the EIS and agreed to assume that task himself. It was mentioned that Randy Dunlap, long time advocate for the south runway, was a speaker at a recent Dania Beach Democratic Club meeting. He announced he is a candidate for the Broward County Commission. He will be running against John Rodstrom. Chairman Field reminded members the Noise Abatement Committee will meet Monday, June 141"at 6:00 PM The next meeting of the Dania Beach Airport Advisory Board will be the fourth Thursday of June at 7:00 PM. Meeting adjourned by Chairman Field at 8:10 PM. Jay Field, Chairman Respectfully submitted, Suzanne Witz 2. AIRPORT ADVISORY CURRENT MEMBERS Wednesday, March 24, 2004 Appointed Term Began Term Ends Date Date Date commissioner Airport Advisory Board Gary Luedtke March 25,2003 March 18,2003 March 15,2005 Anton 4461 SW 34 Drive Dania Beach,F133312 966-8013 Advisory Board Zachary Adams March 25,2003 March 18,2003 March 15,2005 Anton 837 Argonaut Isle Dania Beach, FL 33004 (954)921-1610 Advisory Board Billy Phipps March 25,2003 March 18,2003 March 15,2005 Anton 946 Nautilus Isle Dania Beach, FL 33004 (954)923-0270 Advisory Board Claude Davis Jr. March 23,2004 March 18,2003 March 15,2005 Chunn 128 NW 51'Avenue Dania Beach, FL 33004 (954)920-3076 Advisory Board Vacant March 18,2003 March 15,2005 Chunn Advisory Board Vacant March 18,2003 March 15,2005 Chunn Airport Advisory Board Beulah Lair March 25,2003 March 18,2003 March 15,2005 Flury 1433 NW 8 Street Dania Beach,FL 33004 921-4715 Airport Advisory Board Jay Field March 25,2003 March 18,2003 March 15,2005 Flury 4520 SW 30th Way Dania Beach, FL 33312-5623 962-6335 Advisory G\docs\boards\catairport.doc 1 AIRPORT ADVISORY CURRENT MEMBERS Wednesday, March 24, 2004 Appointed Term Began Term Ends Date Date Date Commissioner ----------------------------------------------------- Board Charlene Scalese March 25,2003 March 18,2003 March 15,2005 Flury 826 NW 13 Avenue Dania Beach, FL 33004 920-8951 Advisory Board Irvin Witz March 9,2004 March 18,2003 March 15,2005 McElyea 830 NW 71h Avenue Dania Beach, FL 33004 920-8554 _______Airport Advisory Board Nancy(Anne)Stafford August 12,2003 March 18,2003 March 15,2005 McElyea 4730 SW 29 Terrace,Apt. B Dania Beach, FL 33312 985-1045 _______________Airport Advisory Board Geri Gilyard Ingraham August 12,2003 March 18,2003 March 15,2005 McElyea 744 SW 2 Place Dania Beach, FL 33004 925-7403 G\docs\boards\catairport.doc 2 AIRPORT ADVISORY CURRENT MEMBERS Wednesday, March 24, 2004 Appointed Term Began Term Ends Date Date Date Commissioner Airport Advisory Board Edwin Summers May 13,2003 March 18,2003 March 15,2005 Mikes 550 SE 13 Street.Apt. 1-206 Dania Beach, FL 33004 926-1058 or cell 817-3689 Advisory Board Cathy David May 13,2003 March 18,2003 March 15,2005 Mikes 4381 SW 34 Lane Dania Beach, FL 33312 (954)981-8272 _______Airport Advisory Board Karen Gottlieb August 26,2003 March 18,2003 March 15,2005 Mikes 4473 Treasure Cove Drive Dania Beach, FL 33312 (954)483-5485 G\docs\boards\catairport.doc 3 LE.IGH FISHER ASSOCIATES Date June 15, 2004 To Tom Jargiello, BCAD Director of Aviation From Larry Coleman Subject BCAD Work Authorization 0420- Summary of Residential Noise Mitigation Conceptual Cost Estimates The "Assessment of Airfield Development Alternatives" report submitted in November 2003 (the November 2003 Report) included a range of conceptual cost estimates for residential noise mitigation within areas forecast to be exposed to noise levels of 65 DNL and above in 2020. The November 2003 Report included a range of noise mitigation cost estimates for each of eight alternative airfield development scenarios. The aircraft operation figures supporting that analysis were derived from the FAA's 2003 Terminal Area Forecast for Fort Lauderdale- Hollywood International Airport (FLL). Pursuant to Work Authorization 0420 of the contract between Leigh Fisher Associates and Broward County, we were tasked with developing similar conceptual cost estimates for residential areas within the 60 to 65 DNL contour for Alternative SR-2 (as defined in the November 2003 Report). We also prepared conceptual cost estimates for mitigating noise exposure in the 60 to 65 DNL contour for two other cases evaluated in the November 2003 report, namely the Base Case and the Unconstrained Base Case. The results for these additional cases have been include d here to provide a frame of reference add differentiating the potential mitigation costs associated with (1) accommodating projected traffic growth at FLL, and (2) the costs arising from the planned xtension of the South Runwa e .Y 2 The following provides a brief summary of the process used in developing the conceptual cost estimates for the various cases, and summarizes the noise mitigation techniques assumed in the development of these conceptual cost estimates. Future Airfield Development Scenarios As described in the November 2003 Report, noise exposure forecasts were prepared for the three future airport scenarios as follows: • Base Case In this case, there would be no changes to the existing FLL airfield and current runway use patterns, and traffic would grow to the level forecast by the FAA for 2020, regardless of aircraft delay levels. • Unconstrained Base Case As in the Base Case, no improvements to the airfield were assumed. However, to better accommodate projected levels of traffic and reduce aircraft delays, the Unconstrained Base Case anticipates that the FAA would make much greater use of the Crosswind Runway (Runway 13/31), thereby shifting noise exposure to areas to the northwest and southeast of FLL. • Alternative SR-2 On December 9, 2003, the Broward County Board of County Commissioners approved a preferred development option with project limits consistent with Alternative SR-2. This alternative is expected to be included as the County's "preferred alternative" for consideration in the federal Environmental Impact Statement resume in the near future. In EIS process, which is expected to e (EIS) P this case, the South Runway would be extended to NE V' Avenue. Runway use is assumed to be consistent with the Phase 1 operating restrictions the County has committed to in the Interlocal Agreements with neighboring cities. Residential Mitigation Options —60 to 65 DNL Airport operators have employed a variety of approaches for mitigating aircraft noise exposure in residential areas and/or compensating property owners for the effects of aircraft noise exposure. The mitigation estimates in the November 2003 Report for areas within 65 DNL contour were based on the assumption that the County's program would consist of a combination of residential soundproofing and property acquisition. 3 For the areas within the 60 to 65 DNL noise exposure contour, we developed scenarios to establish a range of conceptual cost estimates assuming the use of the following mitigation techniques: • Property acquisition of permanent residences and mobile homes • Soundproofing of permanent residences • Relocation of mobile homes • Compensation for lost property value attributable to airport noise exposure • Extending 65 DNL mitigation benefits to residences within the 60 DNL contour when a neighborhood is divided by the 65 DNL contour We developed various scenarios comprised of the above mitigation techniques, with each selected to varying degrees, to define a range of conceptual cost estimates. These mix-and-match scenarios were based on noise mitigation experiences at other airports. However, it should be noted that few airports have extended mitigation benefits to the 60 DNL contour, so these assumptions should be considered very preliminary. To have a more definitive cost estimate, or to narrow the range of the estimate, details about the County's mitigation program would need to be established by the Board of County Commissioners. The conceptual cost estimates were developed after completing a run of the Integrated Noise Model for aircraft operations in 2020. This process identified the noise contour areas that would be subject to a future mitigation program assuming that such a program reached the limits of the 60 DNL contour. Corresponding estimates of the number of impacted housing units by type were identified using U.S Census data and were subjected to unit cost assumptions. Property values used in the calculations were derived from a March 2003 valuation report prepared by George A. Trask & Associates entitled "Impact of Alternative Development Programs on Property Values, Fort Lauderdale- Hollywood International Airport", which was prepared through a subcontractor from LFA. Table 1 provides a cross-tabulated summary of the high and low conceptual cost estimates for mitigation in the 60-65 DNL contour under each case. Please let me know if you have any questions regarding the assumptions in the analysis or the summary of results. 4 Table 1 NOISE MITIGATION CONCEPTUAL COST ESTIMATES Fort Lauderdale-Hollywood International Airport (in Millions of 2003 Dollars) Mitigation unconstrained Alternative Scenario Base Casa Base Case SR-2, South Runway Case Within 65 DNL $55 $80 $85 65 DNL Estimate plus Lower Estimates $120 $195 $175 for 60 to 65 DNL 65 DNL Estimate plus Higher Estimates $215 $285 $270 for 60 to 65 DNL LEIGH FISHER ASSOCIATES (:'o;jt tltanft to it i7,p rl Afanagement Report Noise.,.Mitigath.. [Plan Fart Lat*rdalelw4Wywood international Airport June 2004 TABLE OF CONTENTS Background ....................................................................................................1 ProblemDefinition............................................................................................2 Sources and Availability of Funds .......................................................................3 Timing: Aligning Need with Availability................................................................7 Principles of the Financial Plan...........................................................................8 Potential FAA Concerns Regarding the Use of PFCs for the Noise Mitigation Bank....11 Potential Schedule and Approval Process........................................................... 13 i BACKGROUND This report outlines a conceptual framework for financing a Noise Mitigation Bank for Broward County. The Noise Mitigation Bank is a new concept first introduced in the November 2003 "Assessment of Airfield Alternatives" report (the November 2003 Report). The November 2003 Report identified the option of increasing the Passenger Facility Charge (PFC) from its current $3.00 rate at Fort Lauderdale- Hollywood International Airport (the Airport or FLL) and committing the incremental PFC revenue to fund the County's noise mitigation programs when such programs are adopted. The design objectives of the Noise Mitigation Bank concept included: 1. Define a mechanism to establish a funding commitment by the County for future noise mitigation programs and minimize the risks associated with funding these programs principally on the promise of future funding, or on funding largely controlled by other parties such as airline tenants or the FAA. 2. Develop a funding plan to allow the County to accelerate the implementation of the noise mitigation program at a rate faster than previously planned and faster than conventional programs. 3. Identify a funding framework where mitigation funds are "walled off" and not at risk of being diverted to other Airport expansion projects, including the direct costs of the planned extension to the South Runway. The November 2003 Report suggested that the Broward County Board of County Commissioners (the BOCC) could consider increasing the PFC rate by $1.50 to $4.50 per enplaned passenger. This measure would be a major step in reducing the degree of reliance on less certain and less timely federal programs and federal grants when trying to achieve the BOCC's goals. In this context, the Noise Mitigation Bank would provide an institutional framework to clearly account for sources and uses of mitigation funding independent from other Broward County Aviation Department (BCAD) activities. Also, because the Noise Mitigation Bank would facilitate a program that accelerates mitigation, the Noise Mitigation Bank would function as a bridge financing mechanism to the permanent and more traditional funding plan as it materializes in the future, which is expected to involve grants, bond proceeds, and other sources. The purpose of this report is to: ■ Evaluate the relationship between various potential funding sources for future noise mitigation programs, which include PFCs, landing fees and other user charges, and grants. ■ Assess how to optimize future revenue streams from these funding sources to implement the County's noise mitigation programs sooner. ■ Summarize the approvals and processes required to implement the Noise Mitigation Bank conceptual framework as presented below. 2 ■ Document concerns the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) may have if the County seeks to implement the Noise Mitigation Bank concept using PFCs, especially given that (1) the Noise Mitigation Bank is a new concept that the FAA has not encountered at other airports, and (2) the FAA would have to approve the use of PFCs for the Noise Mitigation Bank. PROBLEM [DEFINITION The November 2003 Report evaluated airfield development alternatives assuming the unconstrained traffic levels in the FAA's 2003 Terminal Area Forecast would be accommodated. It also assumed that any required non-airfield facilities needed to serve this demand would be provided. However, it is worth noting early in this report that increases in the estimated residential noise exposure associated with forecast growth in aircraft operations at FLL would come from (1) increased use of existing facilities, and (2) use of planned additional airfield facilities, as described below. ■ First, a subset of the forecast noise exposure in residential area is simply attributable to growth in traffic using existing airfield facilities at FLL. The most recent annual noise contour report for FLL prepared by HMMH indicates that the federally recognized noise threshold of 65 DNL currently reaches existing residential areas near the Airport only on a relatively limited basis. The existing facilities at FLL are capable of handling a certain level of increased aircraft traffic, since these facilities have not reached a saturation point today. With such increases in aircraft activity, there will be significant increases in noise exposure over residential areas, particularly directly west of the existing North Runway. ■ Second, the planned extension of the South Runway and its use by air carrier aircraft is forecast to introduce high noise levels in existing residential areas currently receiving limited aircraft noise from large aircraft. The planned operating restrictions for the extended South Runway would significantly reduce the residential noise exposure associated with this project, versus what the noise exposure would otherwise be, at least during Phase 1 of those operating restrictions. The County has commenced a process to define noise mitigation programs to address the impacts of increased aircraft noise associated with forecast FLL traffic growth. The cost of these programs is, therefore, not certain at this time. However, for this task and for other work we have undertaken for the County, we have developed preliminary estimates of potential costs for mitigation. These estimates are based on experience at other airports and the fact that the BOCC has approved a resolution indicating it plans to exceed current federal standards for noise mitigation eligibility. The following is a summary of these preliminary estimates, all of which are provided in 2003 dollars. ■ The total cost of mitigation associated with aircraft noise using existing airfield facilities is estimated to be about $55 million for areas within the 65 DNL contour and an additional $130 million if mitigation is extended to the 60-65 DNL levels. The mitigation associated with these cost estimates would largely 3 take place west of the North Runway. (If one assumes use of the existing Crosswind Runway will increase from the levels of occasional use seen currently, additional noise would be forecast for residential areas northwest of FLL and, to a lesser extent, to the southeast of the Airport.) ■ The total cost of mitigation associated with aircraft noise using the extended South Runway during Phase 1 of the operating restrictions is estimated to be about $30 million for areas within the 65 DNL contour and an additional $55 million if mitigation is extended to the 60-65 DNL levels. The mitigation associated with these cost estimates would largely take place south of the Airport, with a limited amount of mitigation to the west of the South Runway given the operating restrictions in Phase 1. ■ Together, the growth in aircraft operation and the planned extension of the South Runway for air carrier operations during Phase 1 of the operating restrictions has an estimated mitigation cost of$85 million for areas within the 65 DNL contour and an additional $185 million if mitigation is extended to the 60-65 DNL levels, or a total of $270 million on a preliminary basis. If one assumes these estimates provide a reasonable order-of-magnitude of the cost of potential mitigation programs for planning purposes, two fundamental questions remain: 1. Where will the money to fund these programs come from? 2. When will these programs make funds available? SOURCES AND AvAILABILM OF FUNDS Sources of Funds Noise mitigation programs at airports in the United States are generally funded with: 1. Federal grants through the Airport Improvement Program (AIP), which is funded by federal aviation taxes; 2. PFCs levied and paid locally by passengers using an airport, although PFCs are subject to various FAA approvals prior to their collection and use; and 3. Other local airport revenues, which include aircraft landing fees or other revenues of an airport enterprise that may or may not be based on airline payments. Few states have grant programs to fund noise mitigation costs, although the State of Florida does have an effective airport grant program. Given that State of Florida grants are limited, we have assumed that these grants would be a secondary source of funds for the purposes of this report. To the extent that these grants materialize in the future, they would serve to reduce the need to tap one or more of the other sources. 4 Many airport sponsors tend to limit their commitment to implement noise mitigation programs to the amount of mitigation that can be carried out with federal grant funds and the required local match. Federal discretionary noise grants generally require a local match of 20% at large-hub airports and this local share is frequently funded from the airport's PFC revenues. Airlines generally adhere to a view that system-wide taxes paid by aviation users and passengers to the federal government are"intended"to be the primary source of funding for airport noise mitigation programs. In practice, adoption of this perspective would tend to average any particular airport's mitigation costs across the national aviation system. This would minimize any economic disadvantage to the particular airport market area by not having it bear the cost burden of local residential circumstances, which are generally beyond the airport operator's control. In 1991, Congress authorized the collection of PFCs by local airport sponsors, subject to a number of limitations and the approvals by the FAA referenced above. Since they became available, PFCs have become the second most important source of funds for noise mitigation programs. As stated above, PFCs are considered local funds, but are subject to certain federal approvals and limitations. However, it is worth noting in the context of the BOCC's goals that airport sponsors can use their PFCs for mitigation programs exceeding current federal grant eligibility limits, although approval of such expenditures does require approval by the FAA. Availability of Funds The principal sources of funds for noise mitigation programs each have different levels of risk regarding future availability and do not offer the same degree of control and flexibility to airport sponsors. ■ Federal Airport Improvement Program (AIP) AIP grants are subject to periodic program reauthorization by Congress and annual appropriation legislation, also by Congress. Airports generally receive formula-driven entitlement funds from the AIP program. (Broward County is scheduled to receive about $5.6 million in AIP entitlements in federal fiscal year 2004. If the County were to increase the PFC rate to $4.50, then it would lose half of these annual entitlement funds.) Additionally, airports are eligible to receive discretionary noise mitigation grants, among other discretionary initiatives within AIP. Annually, 34% of AIP discretionary funds are mandated by Congress to be set aside solely for noise projects, and noise projects are also eligible for remaining discretionary funding. Airport operators compete with each other for AIP discretionary funds for local noise mitigation programs. While some risks related to reauthorization or non-appropriation exist, AIP has become a reliable source of funding for airport projects, especially noise mitigation projects. The greatest risks of relying on discretionary AIP grants to fund local noise mitigation programs are budget and competitive constraints on the availability of funds, which can mean local noise mitigation programs may not be able to advance on their ideal schedule. 5 As a separate matter, Congress and the FAA have established statutory, regulatory, and policy limitations on how AIP funds can be used by an airport sponsor. Some of these limitations are driven by the goal of spreading limited funds over a greater number of airports, while other limitations are driven by policy and precedent concerns. In practice, AIP funds are generally limited to noise mitigation within the 65 DNL contour, and discretionary funds are only made available following completion and approval of a Part 150 Study. Adopting a program that is primarily dependant on federal grants reduces local control over (1) when mitigation will be implemented and (2) the extent of mitigation that may be undertaken. ■ Passenger Facility Charges (PFCs) At FLL, the PFC rate is currently set at $3.00 per enplaned passenger. In our November 2003 Report, we suggested that the BOCC consider increasing the PFC at FLL to $4.50, which is the current limit established by Congress and the amount charged at most large-hub airports today. The incremental funding generated by this increase could be committed to underwriting the aircraft noise mitigation efforts of the County to the extent required to fully fund such a program in conjunction with other available funding sources. This incremental funding capacity is considerable, as demonstrated in the following chart, which shows incremental collections assuming the additional $1.50 collections were to start on October 1, 2005. Estimated Cumulative PFC collections from Incremental$1.50 ................................ _...._ . 90 40 O 80 70 60 1V1. 0 50 o. �E tp 40 C 30 20 V C 0 2006 2007 2008 2008 2010 2011 Fiscal Year' Note:Increase inenoWned,pas"Me(S based on2004FAATem*mlArea Forecast. 6 ■ Airport Revenue Use of airport revenue directly or indirectly to fund capital projects at major airports in the United States is often subject to tenant airline approval. Although the specific terms of each agreement vary, the process generally involves a "majority-in-interest" approval of(1) any debt to be issued that may affect airline rates and charges and (2) any capital project over a moderate size. However, a number of large airports operate under agreements that have no airline approval rights, or without any airline agreements at all and, therefore, do not have this constraint. At FLL, most capital projects are subject to airline approval pursuant to terms in the Airline-Airport Lease and Use Agreements. These approval processes are expected to be in place at least through the term of these agreements, which are collectively scheduled to expire on September 30, 2011. Like agreements at other airports, the Airline-Airport Lease and Use Agreements at FLL establishes how costs are recovered from airline rates and charges. In the case of the planned South Runway extension and noise mitigation programs that the County may adopt, the net cost, after grants and PFC contributions, would be included in the landing fee under the current formulas if approved by the Signatory Airlines. A common issue in the airline approval process at major airports is whether or not airport-sponsored debt will be used to fund proposed projects. Usually, airport revenue bonds are used as the primary debt instrument. Most often, airport revenue bonds are backed by all future airport revenue on a consolidated basis, which is the case for the County's Airport System Revenue Bonds. At large airports, revenue bonds rarely have a general tax backing from any other local government sources, as is the case at FLL. At FLL and other major airports, when projects are debt-financed, the annual debt service is included in the rate base, increasing the level of fees paid by airport users such as airlines (e.g., landing fees). This tends to align user payments with the useful life of the project being financed. If projects are not debt-financed and an airport operator does not have surplus cash to underwrite additional costs, then the net project costs are often expensed in the rate base, which tends to lead to higher airline fees in the short term. The desire to defer rate increases, and the economic logic of having future users pay for the benefits of projects that tend to have long useful lives, biases airlines toward favoring debt-financing projects at most airports. The current economic condition of the airline industry tends to reinforce this inclination, but has also caused airlines to question projects based on long-term cost concerns relative to the perceived benefits. 7 TIMING: ALIGNING NEED wrrH FUNDING AVAIL ABiLrry Without question, uncertainties exist as to when air carrier operations on the planned South Runway extension might commence and, therefore, when the direct noise impacts on nearby residential areas would take effect. Hurdles related to the federal environmental approval processes, the potential for subsequent litigation, the securing of a funding package for the project, and the need to define the duration of the design and construction processes all contribute to the uncertainties related to the schedule for initial air carrier operations on the South Runway and the noise exposure associated with this new activity. However, the growth of noise over residential areas resulting from increased aircraft operations using existing Airport facilities is all but inevitable, so long as current forecasts of future traffic levels are reasonably accurate. In addition, property appraisal work completed in 2003 indicated there are current indirect impacts on the residential property values in the forecast footprint of the highest noise levels in future years. Based on the Runway Implementation Plan of February 16, 2004, the Broward County Aviation Department expects to develop a noise mitigation program for BOCC consideration over the next eight months. Whether or when these programs will qualify to receive federal grants in the future is not known because qualifications for federal grant eligibility vary. ■ At a minimum, the County would have to complete and the FAA would have to approve a Part 150 study to qualify for certain types of grants in relation to mitigating the growth of aircraft noise associated with the use of existing Airport facilities. ■ In addition, for residential areas with higher levels of noise exposure associated with the planned extension to the South Runway, federal noise mitigation grants would not be forthcoming until after a Record of Decision (ROD) on the Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) is rendered for the project. ■ In either of the situations outlined immediately above, to the extent the County plans to provide noise mitigation in excess of federal standards, federal grants should not be assumed to be a source of funds. ■ Where the County plans to accelerate mitigation in advance of when mitigation may otherwise qualify for federal grants (e.g., before the Record of Decision on the planned South Runway extension, or more than five years before the projected onset of direct impacts on residential areas), federal grants should not be assumed to be a source of funds. While the County may eventually be able to qualify some of these mitigation expenditures for federal grants, any such grants would simply serve to reduce the requirements of the initial sources of funds. 8 PRINCIPLES OF THE FINANCIAL PLAN Given (1) the varying standards of control, flexibility, eligibility, and approval associated with the funding sources defined above, and (2) the expectation that the County's noise mitigation program will have phases with different characteristics and eligibilities, the following assumptions constitute a set of provisional underpinnings for the Noise Mitigation Bank financial plan for consideration by the BOCC. 1. Federal grant funds should be designated as (a) recapitalization funds to keep the Noise Mitigation Bank functional in future phases of operation and (b) funds to pay off indebtedness used to accelerate program implementation. Federal grants are reasonably likely to fund much of the noise mitigation program cost. However, these funds are only provided on a reimbursement basis, and the bulk of the funds are likely to arrive considerably later in the noise mitigation program's life cycle. 2. PFCs should be designated as the primary initial source of funds for the Noise Mitigation Bank. With the caveat that only preliminary ranges of estimates of the noise mitigation program's costs are currently available, and recognizing that the BOCC will have to adopt a specific program before the cost estimates can be truly reliable, we estimate the incremental capacity of the $1.50 PFC rate increase referenced above would be sufficient to cover the majority of the noise mitigation program costs, especially if collections start soon and future PFCs are leveraged to meet program cash flow requirements. However, there are three factors that suggest 100% reliance on PFC revenues to pay for the non-grant elements of the noise mitigation program would be unwarranted. First, PFC collections for this purpose are not exclusively in the control of the County. Among other procedural requirements established by the FAA, the County would need to have a PFC consultation meeting with airlines serving FLL regarding this planned use of PFCs, the airlines may indicate to the FAA"concurrence"or"non-concurrence"with these plans, there is a public input process, and the FAA would be required to render a decision. Realistically speaking, this process would take 6 to 12 months to implement. Second, it is not certain that all elements of the noise mitigation program will be eligible for PFCs, at least initially. (Elements that are not eligible for PFCs would also not be eligible for federal grants.) For example, it may not be possible for the FAA to approve PFC expenditures for accelerated mitigation in areas expected to be affected by future air carrier operations on the extended South Runway because the FAA will be in the process of managing the EIS for this runway extension, and EIS approval may have to come first. 9 Third, the County has not evaluated competing needs for the incremental PFC capacity currently available. While it is likely some, if not most, of the pay-as-you-go PFC capacity could likely be used for the initial Noise Mitigation Bank capitalization, leveraging future PFC capacity for noise mitigation would reduce the County's capacity to develop other projects. (The automated people mover is one example of a conceptual project that may compete for these funds.) Until priorities for the use of future PFCs are established by the BOCC, one cannot assume that all funds are available for noise mitigation. 3. Other Airport revenues, especially aircraft landing fees, should be used to support bonds that provide noise mitigation program funding, the proceeds of which should be used on a targeted basis. Airport revenues are less restricted by FAA rules and regulations than other Noise Mitigation Bank available sources and are, therefore, best targeted to (1) fund elements of the noise mitigation program that are not likely to be AIP or PFC eligible, (2) pay the local share of AIP grant-eligible expenditures for noise mitigation within the 65 DNL, especially for operations using existing airfield facilities, (3) provide an irrevocable, back-up funding source for elements of the program where either eligibility is questionable or eligibility may not determined until later, (4) fund interest costs and other program carrying costs, and (5) provide gap funding for program shortfalls, including shortfalls that arise from any ceiling on PFC contributions once competing priority PFC uses have been established. Given that most of the benefits to Airport users associated with FLL's growth and development of the planned South Runway extension are benefits that will occur in the future, airport revenue bonds backed by future Airport-generated revenues are likely to be the most effective way to make use of this source of funds. In addition, today's airlines and other Airport users will logically be reluctant to pay for the cost of a program whose benefits are largely in the future when, at a minimum, the distribution of the benefits among users will be different and given that some of the current users may not be operating at FLL at the time the benefits are realized. 4. The Noise Mitigation Bank should primarily be capitalized with pay-as- you-go PFCs and secondarily with revenue bond proceeds supported by Airport revenues such as landing fees. Inevitably, if the Noise Mitigation Bank concept is endorsed by the BOCC, an initial capitalization plan would need to be adopted. As noted above: - The nature of the federal grant program and the likely timing of these funds combine to dictate that AIP grants cannot initially capitalize the Noise Mitigation Bank - Elements of the mitigation program may not initially be PFC or AIP eligible - Airport users should expect to support some of the costs of the program through fees paid for facilities used at the Airport 10 Pay-as-you-go PFC funding is very flexible, which means this source of funds can be put into place in parallel with the BOCC's efforts to define a noise mitigation program. To the extent that the amount of the PFCs needed for the mitigation program differs from the preliminary estimates, PFC approvals are easily amended with the FAA to reflect these changes. Selling revenue bonds to provide funds to capitalize the Noise Mitigation Bank may require more information than is currently available about the noise mitigation program's size and the Noise Mitigation Bank's relation to other Airport System financial requirements. In addition, under the terms of the Airline-Airport Lease and Use Agreements, the Signatory Airlines would have to approve issuance of the bonds. The Signatory Airlines may request information about the overall noise mitigation program that the County intends to foster before endorsing a bond sale to support it. (However, as discussed below, there is probably a minimum initial contingent contribution to the capitalization amount that can be demonstrated as reasonable in response to such a request.) 5. Noise Mitigation Bank Expiration Experience with noise mitigation programs at other airports suggests that these programs exist for many years following commencement. However, the Noise Mitigation Bank need not exist for the same length of time. As outlined earlier in this report, the objectives of the Noise Mitigation Bank are to provide a dedicated funding mechanism to accelerate noise mitigation implementation, and to deal with an expected mitigation expenditure rate outpacing the capacity of the permanent funding sources to pay for the accelerated mitigation (i.e., the materialization of federal grants is not expected to keep pace with mitigation expenditures). At some point in the implementation process, the County would be expected to (1) have adopted a defined program with a specific menu of mitigation remedies available for residents in each noise exposure zone, (2) have a track record on the expenditure rates and have a revised total cost estimate for the noise mitigation program based on responses from people in affected residential areas, (3) have gained a better understanding of the probably amount and timing of the noise mitigation grant funds available for FLL, and (4) have finalized a financing plan for the cost of the South Runway extension, including the mix of landing fee revenues, other Airport revenues, PFC, and grants to finance these costs. Once these things are accomplished, there is no particular reason for the Noise Mitigation Bank to continue to exist. In fact, as noted below, the FAA would likely want the County to aggressively manage the Noise Mitigation Bank so that the risk of PFCs being tied up on an open-ended basis is minimized. Also, at the point when the items listed above are substantially resolved or known, a permanent financial plan for the noise mitigation program and the expenditures for the South Runway extension should be completed. For example, the interim underwriting of the mitigation expenditures could be moved to the County's commercial paper program and then refinanced with revenue bond proceeds, which is a path that is likely to parallel the one used for financing the cost of the South Runway extension. 11 POTENTIAL FAA CONCERNS REGARDING THE USE OF PFCS FOR THE NOISE MITIGATION BANK As contemplated in this financial plan, the County would submit a PFC application to the FAA to (1) increase the PFC rate to $4.50 from the current rate of$3.00, and (2) seek project approval for either"Noise Mitigation"or"Funding the Noise Mitigation Bank". Noise mitigation projects at large-hub airports such as FLL (and medium-hub airports) are eligible for PFC funding at the $4.50 level only if they (1) make a significant contribution"to reducing the effect of aviation noise for people living near the airport and (2) cannot be financed with funds reasonably expected to be available through AIP grants. Although the County has yet to define its noise mitigation program, it is likely that the program would meet the first test regarding "significant contribution". The second test regarding AIP funding would require the FAA to think differently about availability of AIP funds by adding a time dimension to the equation. The noise mitigation bank could be used to fund mitigation in advance of when AIP reimbursement might otherwise be available, and the County could reimburse itself with AIP funds. Ironically, mitigation within the 60 to 65 DNL would meet this second test more readily than mitigation in the 65 DNL, as AIP funding is not typically available for projects within the 60 to 65 DNL. Because the County would plan to"dedicate"the increased PFC revenue for noise mitigation does not mean that the justification of the increase to $4.50 needs to be based on the mitigation program. The County may elect to justify the increase in the application to the FAA based on managing or reducing debt for past projects that meet the criteria for the increase. (Reducing previous PFC obligations would indirectly create future PFC capacity for the mitigation program.) With regard to seeking project approval, anairportsponsor can apply for PFC ` collections for a project on an impose only" or an `impose-and-use basis. Impose only" approvals allow an airport sponsor to collect PFCs while issues such as environmental approvals or airspace determinations are resolved. This procedure eliminates the risk of an airport sponsor foregoing the collection of revenue that would be used to pay for a future project simply because of technical issues. Given (1) the Noise Mitigation Bank is a new concept and (2) the County has not formally adopted a mitigation program that would inform the FAA as to which elements of the mitigation plan are eligible or not, the County should expect to initially apply for the collection authority for the project on an "impose only" basis. This would allow sufficient time to address issues that the FAA might have mitigation program or the concept of the Noise Mitigation Bank. Among the issues and management considerations that may need to be addressed internally and with the FAA during the"impose only" stage are the following: ■ Because this is a new concept, there will undoubtedly be questions that will arise within the FAA that will need to be addressed, as noted above. • The FAA approves PFC eligible projects, however, the Noise Mitigation Bank i not in itself, a project. . The end-uses of the Noise Mitigation Bank funds s project. would be for eligible noise mitigation projects, however. So, the County would need to explain how the end-uses are eligible, at least for an amount of 12 expenditure that is greater than the total amount of PFCs ultimately expected to be used. (Some of these eligibility questions may not be different than those encountered when the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey collected PFCs for the AirTrain, which was not a fully defined project, so it could not be demonstrated at the outset what parts of would be specifically eligible in the end.) This suggests that the County ought to initially apply for the Noise Mitigation Bank as an impose-only project while the specifics of the County's mitigation program are defined and, thereafter, determine what parts of the mitigation program would be eligible for PFCs. ■ The County may have indirect uses of PFCs for elements of the mitigation program in advance of when these expenditures actually can be deemed eligible. An example of this would be accelerated mitigation expenditures in areas forecast to be affected by air carrier operations on the South Runway extension, when these expenditures occur before the ROD for the South Runway extension EIS is issued. The County may have to establish a plan for replacing any expended PFCs with other Airport revenue if a ROD approving the extension is not issued, thereby foreclosing the potential eligibility of these expenditures. • The FAA would want to see procedures for tracking expenditures associated with the Noise Mitigation Bank if PFC funds are commingled with other funds used for mitigation, particularly if the County plans have potential expenditures for mitigation that is not AIP-eligible. • Interest earning on fund balances may have to be pro-rated among fund sources to assure that PFC interest earnings are properly tracked, either to meet FAA or County accounting requirements ■ Since AIP grants will likely reimburse some PFC expenditures used for mitigation well in advance of grant payments, the FAA may want to see the County adopt procedures for amending the PFC collection amount for the mitigation project on a regular basis, for example annually, to minimize the risk of over-collection of PFCs for this Noise Mitigation Bank project. ■ If the County applies for PFC funding for the Noise Mitigation Bank on an impose-only basis, then it would have to apply for use approval within 3 years of the $4.50 PFC charge effective date, and would have to start spending PFC funds within 2 years of receiving use approval. • The County would have to designate alternative projects to be carried out if the Noise Mitigation Bank does not go forward within the required timeframe. 13 POTENTIAL SCHEDULE AND APPROVAL PROCESSES If the BOCC endorses the Noise Mitigation Bank concept and this financial plan, then implementation would require the following steps: 1. The BOCC would need to approve the increase in the PFC rate from $3.00 to $4.50 per enplaned passenger, subject to completion of an FAA application and approval process. 2. BCAD would initiate the FAA-defined PFC application process to gain approval (1) to increase in the PFC rate to $4.50 and (2) on a noise mitigation program or the Noise Mitigation Bank as an approved project, probably on an "impose- only" basis. The minimum time for the PFC application process is six months following the approval action of the BOCC outlined above. A schedule of 9 to12 months from that date would seem more likely, based on past experience and the need to consult with the FAA on this new concept before the formal commencement of the application process. 3. Following approval of the PFC application by the FAA, the County would need to notify the airlines 60-days before collection of the $4.50 PFC could begin. 4. In parallel with the steps listed above, the County would seek approval from the Signatory Airlines to issue Airport System Revenue Bonds to provide a targeted amount funds to capitalize the Noise Mitigation Bank. These funds would be used to complement PFCs and future AIP grants. Based on past experience with the airline consultation and approval process and the requirements of the Airline-Airport Lease and Use Agreements, this process would probably take three to six months, which is likely to be less time than the PFC amendment process. 5. An important step in accessing AIP noise program discretionary funds for noise exposure related to increased aircraft use of existing facilities at FLL is approval by the FAA of a Part 150 study. The County has not formally commenced this process yet, and we do not have information about the duration of the process that would lead to approval. Based on our experience with Part 150 studies at other airports, we believe this process will take longer than the PFC amendment process summarized above. 6. To access AIP grant funds for the planned extension to the South Runway, a Record of Decision on the EIS would be required. We do not have an updated schedule for this process at this time. T. pz s ((ig F a Kg 3 ri k st s^s f&.F�S Y s r > g @ s �YT y � r `•£ ? �3 r �.a'� ,�?x S irza��. �f F ? s'S k� "�'�� �f�4`,g�g�. .xs✓SF:�.gs��:� s r}s�t� � r .i'r L.�.` :-r as z RD COUNTY ----------- ��k5 £ g suppleme n. � � � � Fon � r�a, �� � � int r I Airnort dune LEIGH FISHER ASSOCIATES CIVIL-CADD ("onsultants to Airport Management e::rzrawwx;. 1 BACKGROUND This report is submitted to the Broward County Aviation Department (BCAD) pursuant to Work Authorization 0408 of the contract between Leigh Fisher Associates and Broward County. The work plan submitted to BCAD indicated that supplemental noise exposure maps would be developed to allow the Broward County Board of County Commissioners (the BOCC) to assess policy alternatives offering the potential to reduce residential noise exposure from the levels forecast for Alternative SR-2 in the November 2003 report"Assessment of Airfield Alternatives" (the November 2003 Report). The November 2003 Report documented forecast noise exposure arising from aircraft operations at Fort Lauderdale-Hollywood International Airport (the Airport or FLL) in 2020 using the FAA's 2003 Terminal Area Forecast, which is an unconstrained forecast of aircraft operations and passengers. For development alternatives that would extend Runway 9R/27L (the South Runway), residential noise exposure was forecast both with and without planned operating restrictions. The November 2003 Report also documented forecast residential noise exposure in 2020 for cases where no new improvements are made to the FLL airfield. The information provided in the November 2003 Report indicated that under any scenario considered, traffic growth would cause significant increases in residential noise exposure over the levels experienced today. This report summarizes technical results from the evaluation of certain operational and policy alternatives hypothesized to reduce residential noise exposure, assuming (1) that the South Runway is extend as described in Alternative SR-2, and (2) the planned operating restrictions on the extended South Runway are implemented. In particular, the following concepts were evaluated to estimate the potential to reduce residential noise exposure relative to the results documented for Alternative SR-2 in the November 2003 Report: 1. Relocate the primary flight tracks for eastbound aircraft landing on the North Runway (Runway 9L/27R) and westbound take-offs from the North Runway so that these flight tracks follow I-595 to the maximum extent feasible. 2. Conduct nighttime aircraft landings and take-offs over-water when wind, weather, and traffic levels permit using either the North Runway or the South Runway, assuming that the Alternative SR-2 extension is a given. 3. Enhance the use procedures for the South Runway to a level beyond what is reflected in the agreements with neighboring cities, such as in the City of Interlocal Agreement between the County and the City of Dania Beach, with the purpose of reducing the level of forecast noise exposure in residential areas. 4. Limit the number of passenger terminal gates at FLL to indirectly manage airfield demand with the goal of reducing overall noise exposure and the level of noise exposure forecast for adjacent residential areas. FLL900 2 The following are worth noting: ■ Each of these four potential noise mitigation concepts can be considered and evaluated independent of the other three. However, Concept #3 and Concept #4 have some overlap in that managing airfield demand by restricting terminal development may reduce overall noise, which could benefit some residential areas. ■ The first three concepts listed above require negotiations with and approval by the FAA and cannot be implemented unilaterally by Broward County. ■ The fourth concept, limiting or managing the development of passenger terminal facilities, could be adopted as a policy of Broward County as owner of the Airport without the requirement for formal FAA approvals. ■ If the BOCC finds the results of Concept #1 or Concept #2 worth pursuing as a method of reducing noise over residential areas, then implementation would likely require inclusion of either concept in the current FAA Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) process or a separate, new FAA EIS process. ■ If Concept #4 were adopted as a method to manage growth of aircraft landings and take-offs, then these reduced levels of activity could result in the extended South Runway alternative comparing less favorably with other alternatives that are likely to be considered when the current EIS process is re-started. FLL900 3 1. RELOCATION OF FIGHT TRACKS As documented in the November 2003 Report, the forecast growth in aircraft operations at FLL and the increase in use of the North Runway for landings in east flow conditions, which occur about 80% of the time, are projected to increase noise over residential areas along the current flight tracks. In particular, largely independent of the issues related to the planned South Runway extension, overflight noise exposure in the Town of Davie's residential areas is forecast to increase substantially by 2020 due to increased traffic using FLL. The concept of relocating the primary over-land flight tracks for the North Runway to an alignment closer to I-595 arises from the fact that the Rotated Crosswind Runway Alternative (also documented in the November 2003 Report) shows an area of reduced residential noise exposure. This amounts to about a 75% reduction in residential acreage within the 65 DNL contour and about a 20% reduction within the 60-65 DNL contour when compared to Alternative SR-2. The comparatively lower forecast noise levels associated with the Rotated Crosswind Runway Alternative occur because: 1. An area within one mile south of the I-595 right-of-way and east of University Drive has less residential acreage than do the areas under the current primary flight track. 2. A residential area immediately west of Florida's Turnpike and under the current primary flight track is forecast to be substantially within the 65 DNL contour in 2020. Moving the flight tracks to the heading of the Rotated Crosswind Runway Alternative centerline would remove almost all of this residential area from the 65 DNL contour in 2020. This area would likely still be in the 60 DNL contour in 2020 under the Rotated Crosswind Runway Alternative, however. Currently, the primary over-land flight tracks to and from the North Runway are aligned with the centerline of the North Runway for about 3 to 8 miles from the Airport boundary for landings, and 3 to 6 miles from the airport for take-offs. As a point of reference, the Florida Turnpike is about 3 miles from the end of the North Runway and Pine Island Road is about 6 miles from the runway end. In practice, depending on weather conditions and traffic levels, substantial variability from this primary flight track is recorded. Analytic techniques used to develop noise contours as an input to the FAA's Integrated Noise Model account for the variability of flight tracks based on observed flight patterns from radar data. Figures 1 and 2 illustrate the arrival and departure tracks developed for noise modeling at FLL based on radar data collected for the Broward County Aviation Department's noise modeling system. To the extent that accepted variations from the primary tracks can be reduced in number and can be relocated over less populated areas, the forecast of acreage of residential areas within any noise contour level (e.g., 60 DNL or 65 DNL) can be reduced. The November 2003 Report did not evaluate comparative aircraft noise exposure for areas less than the 60 DNL level among the alternatives reviewed. However, throughout the community outreach meetings and during briefings for the BOCC FLL900 4 associated with the November 2003 Report, questions were posed about the potential to reduce residential area overflights both for DNL contours and single- events, and for areas outside the 60 DNL contour. Also, there was a general recognition in comments received that (1) the I-595 right-of-way already has higher ambient noise levels than along the current primary flight tracks, which may make aircraft noise less perceptible in these areas than is currently experienced in overflight areas of Davie, (2) there are more commercial and institutional uses along I-595 than there are under the current flight paths, particularly when one looks beyond the 65 DNL contour, and (3) the potential may exist to reduce single-event noise levels through modified flight tracks, particularly in evening and at nighttime hours, even if such an action would not materially affect the shape of the overall noise contour at the 60 DNL and higher levels. As part of this task, we were asked to develop a conceptual approach and departure flight tracks for the existing North Runway that would produce noise exposure results as close as possible to those shown for the Rotated Crosswind Runway Alternative. To complete the noise exposure assessment, the following assumptions were made. 1. Based on experience at other airports and accepted air traffic procedures near certain noise-sensitive airports, the most significant known constraint to implementing a modification to the flight tracks associated with the North Runway is a requirement that aircraft landings be on a "straight in"final flight path once aircraft are three to four miles from the end of the runway. (Many airports have landing and take-off flight tracks that are not directly aligned with the centerline of runways for a variety of reasons, including among other things air traffic control procedures and noise abatement purposes.) The conceptual I-595 flight track for aircraft landing on the North Runway in east flow conditions is shown in Figure 3. Patterned after similar approach procedures employed at other airports, it was assumed that this procedure would be used under visual conditions when the weather is clear (about 85% to 900/o of the time). Under poor weather conditions, the standard straight in procedure would be followed. Also, as illustrated in Figure 3, as is common under actual operating conditions, it was assumed that there would be variation in the point where pilots turn onto the final path and align with the runway centerline. 2. With regard to take-offs from the North Runway when the Airport is operating in west flow conditions, which occur 20% of the time, there are fewer restrictions on the development of potential alternative flight tracks. Based on departure tracks seen at other airports, an alternative primary departure track was defined for this evaluation (see Figure 4). FLL900 5 Summary of Results To assess the potential changes in noise exposure resulting from these concepts, the noise contours were prepared out to the 55 DNL level, as shown in Figures 5, 6, and 7. IF the primary flight tracks shifted as described above, the following changes in the forecast contours would change as follows: • For eastbound landings to the North Runway, which occur 80% of the time, residential areas inside Davie Road would not be able to be relieved of overflight noise by landing aircraft. ■ Given the need of aircraft to have some distance to turn from the I-595 flight track to the final approach to Runway 9L, overflights of the residential area immediately west of University Drive could be reduced but not eliminated. An increase in overflights would occur in the Nova Southeastern University campus. ■ Combined, the major effect would be to shift the 55 and 60 DNL contours to the north (1) away from areas in Davie west of Davie Road and (2) to areas over other sections of Davie and portions of the City of Plantation. The following table summarizes the estimated changes that would result from this conceptual change to the flight paths to and from the North Runway. SUMMARY OF 1-595 FLIGHT TRACK CONCEPT VERSUS ALTERNATIVE SR-2 rDecre,se in Po ulation b DNL LevelIncrease in Po ulation b DNL Level Community 60-65 >65 TOTAL 60 60-65 >65 TOTAL Plantation 0 0 050 00 2,350 Unincor orated 0 0 000 0 0 4,200 Fort Lauderdale 0 0 0 0 0 840 Davie 2 985 370 14 27500 2 220 115 9 935 TOTAL 2 985 370 14,275E14990 2 220 115 17 325 Our work scope for this task did not call for a full technical evaluation of modifying the over-land flight tracks associated with the North Runway. 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In generating DNL noise contour maps, the FAA defines nighttime aircraft noise as occurring between the hours of 10:00 p.m. and 7:00 a.m. According to accepted FAA noise modeling techniques, nighttime noise exposure receives a ten-fold penalty in the DNL noise contours, thereby increasing the area described as being within a given noise level. In other words, a nighttime aircraft operation is modeled as if is it equivalent to 10 daytime aircraft operations to reflect the greater degree of disturbance experienced during nighttime hours. Regardless of the technical results for the DNL contours, single-event noise exposure is usually the primary motivation for looking at alternative nighttime procedures at most major airports that consider this mitigation method. Our scope of work for this task called for us to evaluate the benefits of implementing nighttime over-water take-off and landing procedures for FLL. This type of procedure is known as bi- directional operations. As examples, this procedure is used at Boston-Logan International Airport and Los Angeles International Airport to promote over-water operations at night. At FLL, the primary effect would be to shift certain nighttime North Runway landings coming from the west to an over-water approach landing from the east. During times when such a procedure is in use, take-offs from the North Runway would head over-water to the east between landings with sufficient spacing, both physically and time wise, to meet safety requirements. Because of safety and capacity issues, a bi-directional procedure can only be available in low traffic and good weather conditions. In particular, per FAA Order No. 8400.9, we assumed that such a procedure would only be employed in hours with clear weather, a tailwind of less than 7 knots, and a crosswind of less than 15 knots. Also, based on experience at other airports, the procedure would only be available in hours with 15 operations (i.e., total take-offs and landings) or less. A National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration database with hourly observations of weather for a full year was used to estimate the number of nighttime hours when weather conditions might permit bi-directional operations at FLL. The forecast of aircraft operations used for the November 2003 Report indicate that only between 11:00 p.m. and 6:00 a.m. would scheduled aircraft operations likely be low enough to allow bi-directional operations to occur. (It is worth noting that system- wide aircraft delays, arrival delays at FLL due to weather earlier in a day, and non- scheduled air carrier and general aviation aircraft would likely reduce the available window of time for bi-directional operations because these events would increase demand during shoulder hours, most likely between 11:00 p.m. and midnight.) Summary of Results The cross-tabulation of data for acceptable wind/weather data conditions and minimal demand indicates that the maximum potential for bi-directional operations FLL900 14 would be 65% of the time between the hours 11:00 p.m. and 6:00 a.m. over the course of a year. Assuming that the bi-directional procedures were implemented to the maximum extent possible, and assuming FAA and pilot acceptance of the procedure at FLL, we evaluated the effect of the procedures on the base case Alternative SR-2 DNL contours. We found that a change in the procedures would produce a reduction in the DNL noise levels over residential areas by approximately 1 dB within the DNL contour. In our assessment, this change is not significant in the context of the accuracy of the noise modeling techniques available. However, the single-event effects of the procedure would be significant. Figure 8 shows the noise exposure arising from a single aircraft landing on the North Runway over land for an MD-11 aircraft, which is a common type of all-cargo aircraft. Figure 9 shows the single-event contour shifted to an over-water procedure. Our evaluation was conducted only to determine the extent of potential benefits of increasing nighttime over-water aircraft operations. We did not evaluate the feasibility of these procedures in the context of airspace issues around FLL or the air traffic control interdependencies of FLL and nearby airports. FLL900 � N his ' eAjOC ire Town jot fit is e kid q \ Rk sto MOW •i Y 9 Q D � C pY ,1'Y' V F k iF z n avia,*k�JKPN k - 2 � e s � h>•s3sI' 1.4 Fix: 4-4 R. MAT \ G x '.k w Rat �'�' i �r,� �;w W e i A � ' `,�;.•Ds a``ys get �^ M �£ �.�g9 if .�.� AN �t r S 3 Y � R. F yy K3 VITRO 00 RivYg y� x 3' r y g A R ss.W k ALL S 3 s S N f Y R ppwwckWq+F6Y C YtWF�R�" Y: 4Y«R t Z ll Rii°Yg+,..x7y,�:: ` w»g.«�H �yy Y 6��.. _S R��, Pc 4ya•, � 1`�l�: k 1P AS� vq:i amok, MAP WQq VAT ^«Y`k Y•.' �kbY. �'OA•� L: ). � spy 3INMI, IJ: � g K5 t¢ e N 01 tw" v' Miz sf Q7Q 9 z • 3� `; �j.'�. D �.... £• ^'%�a E A'i9F�� F �e_ ) `�Dki ilk r 17 3. ENHANCED SOUTH RUNWAY:OPEItATING RESTRICTIONS The options for abating noise exposure impacts associated with the growth of FLL and the planned extension of the South Runway generally fall into two groups. ■ First, the County entered into agreements with certain nearby cities that would establish operating restrictions for large aircraft using the South Runway after it is extended. These agreements contemplate the loosening of these restrictions over time in a phased manner. ■ Second, the County plans to adopt programs to mitigate the impacts of noise, in residential areas forecast to be within the higher DNL noise contours. These programs are scheduled to be developed concurrent to the EIS process for the South Runway extension, as documented in the Aviation Department's Runway Implementation Plan of February 16, 2004. Regarding the former, the planned operating restrictions for aircraft operations using the extended South Runway, particularly those incorporated into the Interlocal Agreement between the County and the City of Dania Beach, substantially reduce the forecast noise exposure in residential areas near the Airport compared to the noise exposure levels forecast to occur without these restrictions in place. The benefits of the operating restrictions are particularly evident during "Phase 1" of the planned operating restrictions. The following points summarize the forecast noise exposure results for Alternative SR-2: ■ With the Phase 1 restrictions in place, areas directly west of the extended South Runway, particularly north of Griffin Road, are forecast to be largely outside the 65 DNL contour, although these areas are forecast to be increasingly overtaken by the 60 DNL noise contour with traffic growth, and would experience increased single-event overflight noise. ■ The planned restrictions would do little to mitigate forecast noise exposure in residential areas immediately south of the Airport, both in Melaleuca Gardens and in the Ocean Waterway Community south and west of the Dania Cut-off Canal. The noise levels in these residential areas would primarily result from noise by air carrier aircraft taking off from the South Runway in east flow conditions. To a lesser extent, landings in less frequent west flow conditions would add to the noise profile, principally from reverse-thrust engine braking activities. In 2020, roughly 40% of these residential areas are forecast to be within the 65 DNL contour and 60% are forecast to be within the 60-65 DNL level. ■ Moving to Phase 2, Phase 3 or beyond Phase 3 of the planned restrictions will not materially add to the noise levels in the residential areas immediately south of the Airport. These reduced restriction phases, if implemented, would principally increase noise levels west of the extended South Runway. (It should be noted that the FAA has not formally approved the County's planned operating restrictions or the processes for reviewing or implementing changes to them. Customarily, such approvals would only be finalized as part of the FLL900 18 EIS Record of Decision for the South Runway extension in a form acceptable to the FAA.) Without doubt, the construction of any South Runway extension would fundamentally change the general level of aircraft noise experienced by neighborhoods south and west of the Airport because of air carrier operations on the South Runway. However, considerable concern has been expressed about the presence of the 65 DNL contour limit as a dividing line within the residential areas immediately south of the Airport. This concern appears to arise from two factors. ■ First, it is customary for airport sponsors to adopt consistent policies to offer one set of abatement remedies within single neighborhoods, regardless of the estimated location of forecast noise contour lines. ■ Second, airport sponsors often "round off"their mitigation program eligibilities so that an entire neighborhood receives the best mitigation remedy made available for any part of that neighborhood. In other words, if, for example, property acquisition is used to mitigate noise within the 65 DNL or above, then property acquisition may also apply to residential areas in the same neighborhood that are in the 60 DNL contour, regardless of whether such acquisition is voluntary or not voluntary. However, in the case of FLL, the forecast that 40% of nearby residential areas immediately south of the Airport will be within the 65 DNL contour does not necessarily mean that (1) property acquisition will be required in order to mitigate noise, or (2) entire neighborhoods will be acquired using the "rounding off" convention, simply because a portion of a neighborhood is within the 65 DNL contour. To determine whether or not this would be the result, the BOCC would first have to adopt a mitigation program with specific remedies made available to areas with particular noise exposure levels. It should be noted that, from the FAA's perspective, the development of noise mitigation alternatives is a local government policy decision as to what levels of noise exposure are acceptable for local residential areas. The FAA recognizes the 65 DNL level as incompatible for residential uses and, therefore, will establish funding eligibility for various types of mitigation in these areas, which may or may not include acquisition. However,,the FAA will generally not determine for or dictate to a local government, the level of noise exposure acceptable for residential land use. In this context, we were asked to evaluate new alternatives for reducing the magnitude of noise in areas immediately south of the Airport, assuming the South Runway extension is implemented as planned. In particular, we were asked to determine whether the FAA-recognized 65 DNL level can be contracted so that it is not forecast to encroach on Melaleuca Gardens and in the Ocean Waterway Community. Summary of Results After examining a range of alternatives in the context of the Phase 1 operating restrictions already assumed, we determined that the only potentially effective method for contracting the noise contours south of the Airport would be to limit the number of air carrier take-offs using the South Runway. FLL900 19 Prior to this determination, we considered and evaluated other additional restrictions that theoretically could contribute to contracting the 65 DNL contour in this area, including, among other things, limiting west flow landings, phased-in usage of the extended South Runway, and segmenting the air carrier fleet permitted to use the extended South Runway. None of these additional restrictions materially contributes to moving the forecast location of the 65 DNL contour line associated with Alternative SR-2. In regard to the concept of limiting the number of air carrier take-offs using the extended South Runway, the following summarize the factors affecting the Alternative SR-2 contour. ■ The inputs used for the development of the noise contours documented for Alternative SR-2 in the November 2003 Report assumed that 60% of air carrier aircraft would take off using the South Runway. This equates to a total of about 240 air carrier aircraft take-offs (i.e., take-offs plus landings) on an average day in 2020. Figure 10 shows the noise contours in areas immediately south of FLL under Alternative SR-2. ■ To contract the 65 DNL contour so that it would not be forecast to materially encroach on residential areas immediately south of the Airport, air carrier take-offs on the extended South Runway in 2020 would need to be reduced to approximately 70 daytime operations on average in 2020. This would a 70% reduction from the total air carrier operations level assumed in the capacity, delay, and noise analyses supporting the November 2003 Report. Figure 11 shows the noise contours in areas immediately south of FLL under Alternative SR-2, with the restriction on the number of annual air carrier take-offs from the extended South Runway. In practice, such a concept would require the extended South Runway to have an "annual ceiling" for air carrier take-offs. Effectively this would function as an "operational budget" limitation on the FAA. In other words, the FAA's Air Traffic Control branch would have to agree to manage runway use to target use of the South Runway for air carrier take-offs to deal with peak loading, such as the cumulative demand and delay that occurs in bad weather conditions. In theory, this would allow Air Traffic Control to well exceed the average 70 daily take-off number whenever operating conditions required this to occur, so long as the annual "operational budget" was achieved by reducing air carrier take-offs at other times. The implications of this type of restriction would be significant. • As mentioned above, the FAA has not yet formally agreed to the planned operating restrictions contemplated by the County to date for the extended South Runway. The concept of managing an "operational budget"for annual air carrier aircraft take-offs on the extended South Runway to a particular number may not be well received by the FAA, in part due to the precedent- setting nature of the concept. In addition, there is a risk that any new proposal to expand the operating restrictions beyond those already contem- plated to date may cause the FAA to ask for a total re-start of the EIS process for the planned South Runway extension. ■ It is not certain that any operational ceiling that limits the number of air carrier operations and, therefore, the capacity and delay reduction benefits of FLL900 20 the extended South Runway, would allow this project to sustain its positive benefit-cost assessment, which could affect the availability of federal funding and, therefore, the viability of the project. ■ The restrictions included in the Interlocal Agreement between the County and the City of Dania Beach would restrict landings on the extended South Runway in east flow conditions to aircraft of less than 58,000 pounds during Phase I of these restrictions. Diverting additional air carrier take-offs to the North Runway in east flow conditions would create pressure for more landings on the South Runway in these conditions. As a result, relief from the 58,000-pound limit may be required to manage delay in the context of forecast traffic levels. ■ In the absence of some other runway capacity enhancement, a limit on the number of air carrier take-offs on the extended South Runway in conjunction with a weight-based limit on landings on the South Runway in east flow conditions would likely increase aircraft delays to a level well into or above the "maximum acceptable delay range" if the total number of aircraft operations at the Airport materializes as indicated in the unconstrained forecast. These increased delays would occur because the North Runway would be, in effect, operationally saturated before 2020 and could not efficiently accept additional aircraft diverted to it from an operational ceiling on South Runway take-offs. To address this secondary effect of North Runway congestion arising from these restrictions and accommodate forecast traffic without unacceptable aircraft delay, additional airfield capacity would be needed elsewhere at FLL. The only identified solution to this problem following the implementation of the South Runway extension would then be to also advance the North Parallel Runway concept. FLL900 f i MM 4/ wx 0 Oil k � >m�R��eS < � �, •y� y,. �Y�'♦ �� `�3"�X �°B.%t�, ST,k � 4��^3` � core a x '%#'x"lw:N .400n, La iN R i �k�.� ♦'��x. y .. $',�^*K q ?�^k '.,��`Sx 4.c �etly o 4$ 1:. ` th < � 4A � •ck Yc Via;; , cl 3 xv� �,,M a�'x :,��,° �xi•� � � 'F` -'dry � � C r n F , , Ilk � _ ts w 1.54 x E 8 Z^` sue. .wbADt�'�7y�3''b:. ✓!^. �� �/ I G�Afv k. {�A "wIm 4 W 14, 1 _ k C MAW 'S ., gyp' "" '''�', �, �y-"�e kw � ��, r'�, '^�•> 4 � y a ( �3 mw N;� 1R xx� V i0 �,� kin ->�" `h 3� F r'�t "�•4 � I@ 23 4. PASSENGER TERMINAL DEVELOPMENT As mentioned above, the November 2003 Report was based on the FAA's 2003 Terminal Area Forecast of aircraft operations at FLL in 2020, which assumes no major constraints to the accommodation of forecast traffic levels. The November 2003 Report focused on the relationship between (1) developing airfield capacity sufficient to accommodate forecast demand without unacceptable delay levels, and (2) the magnitude and distribution of the projected noise exposure that would result from increased aircraft operations, particularly over residential areas. As part of the briefing process prior to the BOCC December 9, 2003 vote regarding the South Runway extension, various questions were asked as to whether the pending airfield decision represented the last opportunity for the BOCC to discuss concepts and methods of managing the growth of FLL and the impacts related to this growth. In these discussions, we indicated that at major airports, non-airfield facility developments such as passenger terminals, air cargo areas, and general aviation facilities were important generators of aircraft operations demand, and that managing these developments can be as, or more, important to managing growth than managing developments of the airfield itself. Also, we noted that at a number of airports where airfield improvements fall behind non-airfield facilities develop- ment, or where airfield improvements do not occur at all, the consequence is often lengthy aircraft queues, increased air pollution, additional pressure for nighttime operations, and lower levels of customer service. As part of this work scope, we were asked to evaluate the relationship between existing and potential passenger terminal developments and the growth of aircraft operations at FLL. Our scope did not include an examination of the role of general aviation, cargo operations, or any segment of demand other than passenger aircraft using the public terminal complex. ■ Figure 12 shows the relationship between the number of aircraft gates at major airports and the number of related scheduled aircraft departures by passenger air carrier airlines, including regional jets and larger commuter aircraft. (Figure 12 excludes statistics for major mid-continental connecting hub airports were the number of gates is distorted by the effects of airline scheduling in these locations.) The statistics indicate a correlation between the number of gates at an airport and the associated volume of aircraft operations. As reflected in Figure 12, FLL currently has 57 gates in service with the number of associated scheduled departures consistent with the line fitted to the data. ■ Figure 13 illustrates the passenger traffic associated with the number of gates at each airport. Not surprisingly, the more gates and aircraft operations there are at an airport, the greater the passenger-carrying capacity of that airport. In past briefings for the BOCC, we pointed out that the forecast passenger traffic level for 2020 would make FLL as busy as many of the larger U.S. airports are today. ■ Figure 14 combines the aircraft operations and passenger data in one chart using bubble size to indicate passenger volumes. FLL900 24 To accommodate the 2020 forecast passenger traffic levels, development of additional facilities at FLL would be required, including airfield, terminal and landside facilities. The extent to which traffic growth can or should be accommodated and how facilities could be developed in a balanced way is customarily undertaken as part of an airport master plan update. Summary of Results As called for in this scope of work, we evaluated the implications of constraining passenger terminal development to the existing gate configuration at FLL (i.e., 57 gates). Based on (1) the per-gate throughput of FLL prior to the development of Terminal 1 (i.e., when FLL was demonstrably gate constrained), and (2) the throughput potential of gates at the more constrained airports in the United States, we concluded that FLL can accommodate more airline operations and passengers than today's levels with the existing terminal complex. However, reasonably expected growth in passenger aircraft operations would likely be limited to 30% to 35% above 2003 traffic levels. Stated another way, airlines would likely saturate the current FLL terminal complex in the window of 2010 to 2011, if demand continues to grow and additional gates are not provided. Worth noting is that the aircraft operations level associated with the existing terminal complex would generate annual delays above the"maximum acceptable range" of 6 to 10 minutes per average aircraft operation, unless the existing Crosswind Runway is actively used, as summarized for the Unconstrained Base Case in the November 2003 Report. Even with the active use of the Crosswind Runway, the level of aircraft operations in the 2010 to 2011 window would result in delays of about 8 minutes per average aircraft operation. Obviously, the total noise generated by aircraft would be lower if total aircraft operations are constrained by terminal growth limits. We assessed the noise exposure assuming (1) terminal facilities are limited to the current inventory, (2) the extension to the South Runway is completed, and (3) the North Runway and South Runway are used as currently consistent with Phase 1 of the County's planned operating restrictions. The difference between the noise contour having constrained facilities and that of the unconstrained Alternative SR-2 traffic levels for 2020 is shown in Figure 15 for the 65 DNL contour and Figure 16 for the 60 DNL contour. As shown in these contours, the effective reduction in residential areas exposed to noise resulting from capping the terminal complex to today's configuration is limited. The reduction in overall residential acreage resulting from constrained terminal development while building the extended South Runway is less than 5% relative to the unconstrained operation associated with Alternative SR-2. The primary reason that gate limitation results in only a limited relative reduction in the forecast of residential noise exposure once the South Runway is extended, is that the location of the South Runway is far more important to how noise exposure is distributed near FLL than is the marginal loss of 15% to 20% of the forecast aircraft operations associated with constraining gates. To have a material reduction in residential noise exposure, the County would need to consider managing the growth of terminal development and select a runway alternative with less residential noise consequences than those associated with the South Runway. FLL900 25 For the purposes of evaluating the effects of constraining FLL terminal facilities to the existing configuration, we assumed that Alternative SR-2 would be approved by the FAA and developed by the County. As noted above, in the absence of any develop- ment of alternative runway capacity, there will likely be an increase in use of the existing Crosswind Runway. Compared to today, this would cause significantly greater noise exposure over residential areas northwest and southeast of FLL, as documented in our November 2003 Report. However, it should be noted that the annual operations level achievable with the existing terminal complex and gate count at FLL may not allow aircraft operations to reach a level that would assuredly result in a favorable Record of Decision by the FAA for the planned South Runway exten- sion. In other words, at lower, constrained levels of aircraft operations possibly resulting from constrained passenger terminal development, other airfield develop- ment alternatives could emerge that produce delays in the acceptable range, less costly, and expose fewer residential areas to high levels of noise exposure. 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